EU Referendum Outcome : Ladbroke’s Latest Odds – Matthew Goodwin

Thanks to Matthew Goodwin’s (e-mail: m.j.goodwin@kent.ac.uk ) latest round-up of research into Britain’s EU Referendum, here’s a guest post from Matthew Shaddick, head of Political Betting at Ladbrokes:

“The polls may be close but the latest odds in the betting market point strongly toward a Remain win. Ladbrokes have a current price of 1/3 Remain and 9/4 Leave, implying a 71% probability that Britain will vote to remain in the European Union.

The conclusion of the Prime Minister’s renegotiation in Brussels sparked a frenzy of betting on the outcome (even if there has been no post-renegotiation bounce in the polls).

Initially, there was a huge shift towards Remain but this was followed by a shift back to Leave following the news that Boris Johnson had decided to campaign for Leave.

Yet as far as the betting markets are concerned – and as shown below -it does look like Cameron’s renegotiation has shifted the betting markets in favour of a Remain vote.”

Ladbrokes odds on EU Re- March 2016

If you are a British Citizen still qualified to vote (after less than 15 years abroad), make sure that you can make your voice heard in the EU Referendum by registering to vote on www.gov.uk/register-to-vote.

Advertisements
This entry was posted in British Expat franchise not rigging EU Ref., EU Ref Odds-Ladbrokes March 2016, EU Ref. excluded British Expats React, EU Ref: Overseas Electors - Counter Arguments, Harry Shindler Presses PM., Harry Shindler: Why Stiil 15 yr limit for EU Referendum?, Voting Rights, Worried about EU Referendum? and tagged , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

One Response to EU Referendum Outcome : Ladbroke’s Latest Odds – Matthew Goodwin

  1. Timawells says:

    I think you will find that the telephone voting polls are not reflecting public opinion in the UK, British people want to remain in the UK and out of the EU. If you lived in Britain you would see the damage done to our cultural values, but bottom line we want democracy in our Parliament, not in Brussels.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s